Adults Supported Housing Market Position Statement August 2024

Housing for adults with a learning disability and or autistic people 

The number of adults aged 18 plus with a learning disability and or autism accessing long-term support in Stockton-on-Tees was 485 individuals (2020 to 2021), according to Short-and Long-Term Support (SALT) data. The housing or accommodation status of these 485 individuals is shown below. It should be noted that the cohort of 523 individuals who are receiving long-term support, is part of a larger population of c.700 individuals known to Stockton-on-Tees Borough Council via an assessment of need.  

The table following shows the housing and accommodation status of the 523 individuals. 

Housing for adults with a learning disability and or autistic people future need 

Based on evidence from the Housing Learning and Improvement Network's data in relation to need for housing for people with learning disability and evidence from Projecting Adult Needs and Service Information (PANSI) , it is assumed that there will be 0.5 percent growth per year in Stockton-on-Tees of the adult population of people with a learning disability to 2032.  

An increase of 0.5 percent per year is assumed amongst the population of people with learning disability or autism in Stockton-on-Tees. This growth is applied to the number of people with a learning disability or autism known to the Council.

There is an estimated net need of c.60 units of supported accommodation for people with a learning disability and or autistic people to 2027, and an estimated net need of c.120 units to 2032. This will encompass a range of supported housing needs for autistic people and those across the learning disability spectrum.  

Housing for adults with a mental health need 

There were 1,189 individuals between the age of 18 to 64 with a mental health related need in Stockton-on-Tees, based on data from SBC, in 2016 to 2017. This figure has been used to form the current baseline population for adults with a mental health related need in Stockton-on-Tees.  

The estimated number of individuals aged 18 to 64 with a mental health related need in Stockton-on-Tees is assumed to be c.1,200 in 2022.  

The estimate for 2022 has been generated using the growth rate of 0.5 percent per year of the 18 to 64 population with a mental health related need for Stockton-on-Tees, extrapolating the figure of 1,189 to 1,201 aged 18 to 64 in 2022. 

Accommodation: estimated need for housing - adults aged 18 to 64 in Stockton-on-Tees with a mental health need to 2032

Housing for adults with a mental health need future need 

Estimates of population growth take account of factors such as younger people with mental health related needs becoming adults and an ageing population. Based on previous assessments of housing need for people with mental health needs undertaken by the Housing Learning and Improvement Network, a 0.5 percent increase per year in this population is assumed. 

There is an estimated need of c.27 units of supported accommodation for people with a mental health need to 2027, and an estimated need of c.56 units to 2032. 

Housing for adults with physical disabilities requiring a fully wheelchair adapted dwelling 

The method for estimating the total number of wheelchair user households in Stockton-on-Tees with an unmet need for accessible housing is based on methods derived from two complementary estimation models: 

1. The Horizon Housing Model which draws upon evidence from the English Housing Survey (EHS) and  
2. The Habinteg Housing Model

In addition to this, household population data for Stockton-on-Tees has been used to apply the method derived from the Horizon Housing model to produce local estimates of the number of wheelchair user households and wheelchair user households with unmet need for accessible housing. 

The estimated projected growth in number of households in Stockton-on-Tees with an unmet need to 2032, disaggregate by age group is demonstrated in the following table:  

Source: Office for National Statistics 2019-based household projections for England; Habinteg Housing and Horizon Housing models. 

Fully wheelchair adapted dwellings future need

By 2027, it is estimated that c.105 working age households may require fully wheelchair adapted dwellings (for example similar to Part M (4) Category 3 broadly equivalent to the wheelchair Housing Design standard) across all tenures. 

By 2032, it is estimated that c.150 working age households may require fully wheelchair adapted dwellings (for example similar to Part M (4) Category 2 broadly equivalent to the wheelchair Housing Design standard) across all tenures.